Monday 22 February 2010

Inter v Chelsea - Christian's Perspective

First of all, sorry to take too long to write it. That being said let's talk about football. First, and i think one of the most important aspects of the game, let's compare managers.

Ancelotti is no stranger to both Inter or Mourinho. Mourinho has faced Ancelotti before and so have Inter. He's not the type of manager that will make any surprises. If he has problems with injuried players he will do what you expect. There are no big changes in formation or improvising players. He'll put this formation on the game: Cech; Zirkhov, Ivanovich, Terry, Carvalho; Joe Cole, Lampard, Ballack; Malouda, Anelka, Drogba.
If Mikel start the game than it means Ancelotti got scared and will try to stop Snjeider. It's wouldn't be a surprise but I don't think it'll happen.

Unlike Ancelotti, Mourinho has the habbit of doing crazy things at one game and being really conservative in others. Mourinho has the experience and knowledge to put the best formation for this specific game and make the right changes during the game also. If he'll do it we can only know wednesday. Inter's formation is harder to guess but i believe Mourinho will enter with this squad: Julio César; Maicon, Samuel, Lucio, Santon; Zanetti, Cambiasso, Stankovic, Sneijder; Milito, Eto'o. If we see any change it would have to be Stankovic for Pandev or Balotelli. I personally think Balotelli is more likely to enter than Pandev. But that would be the change in formation.

Talking about formations we are expecting to see a 4-3-3 formation at Chelsea side. This wouldn't happen if Mikel start the line-up. We might be looking at a diamond formation if mikel start the match. It's unlikely but it could happen. Ancelotti knows that he needs to be carefull with Sneijder. Another aspect of the game that makes me believe that Ancelotti is thinking of playing Mikel is that in the case of Ballack playing he will be the one in charge for Sneijder and he is the player that commit most fouls in the Chelsea team. Obviously, Ancelotti knows that and Mourinho also. It will be really bad for chelsea having Sneijder with free kicks in front of the area.

If we are most certainly to see a 4-3-3 formation on Chelsea the same can't be said about Inter. It's actually something we don't know. We might be looking at a 4-3-1-2 formation at Inter. But what some people forget is that Mourinho, sometimes, put on formations that we haven't seen before. Last season he made a CL game playing a 4-2-4. This year, in one of the most important games for the new inter in the begginning of the season, the derby, he gave almost ninety minutes to a recent buy. Sneijder debut was on a derby with milan playing good games and inter wasn't and he did what nobody believed. He puts in charge of the creative role, the only player that had never played with those teammates! So we could actually be seeing a 4-2-2-2 or even maybe a 4-2-3-1. Again, we'll only know on wednesday.

Analysing the players themselves we have to start by Drogba. He's now the best centre forward alongside with Rooney. Milito is almost there, but not there. Drogba is in excelent form and get's almost 50% of his shots on goal, scoring almost the same percentage of the correct shots. He will be hard to handle but I do believe it's possible for Lucio to stop the monster. And we don't have to do much since he shoots from the box. He doesn't shoot from outside the area, he rather wait to enter it. That's more for Lampard and i do believe it will be hard for Chelsea to enter Inter's area. This will make him having to shoot from distance and this might make it harder for them. The other Chelsea player that needs to be taken care of is Lampard. Mourinho knows this and i'm expecting Zanetti to glue to him. Lampard cannot touch the ball and if he does he cannot pass it! That will be the true challenge for Zanetti. Lampard moves quickly, has amazing shot and excelent passing skills. But if there's a player that can make a defference I do believe this player has to be Drogba.

On Inter side we will rely on two players: Julio Cesar and Sneijder. Julio will be the last line of defence and has to stop both Drogba and Lampard's attempts. On the other side of the pitch we have to trust sneijder to provide to Milito and Eto'o. If Eto'o is our striker that moves the most, Milito is the one that is there in front of the box waiting to turn and shoot. And to make this Sneijder has to be at his best since it's the first time Milito will play against Terry and Carvalho. If Terry is a monster the same can't be said about Carvalho. Hopefully we'll see Eto'o taking advantage of that since we all saw that last season Chelsea managed to stop that monster Barcelona's attack. We have to remmember this game mainly because we might be looking at a clean sheet on wednesday.

Taking the whole team in analysis we can see that Inter and Chelsea are at the same level with Chelsea in slight advantage. Most of this advantage comes from their long time being together and that they have proven themselves in continental cups. Inter, on the other hand, has it's first international challenge with this team. A changed team in every aspect, with new players, new mentality and new tactics. If in previous years to stop inter one had to stop ibrahimovic now we're not like this anymore. Our team is very balanced and can take chelsea out. By doing so Inter will be put in a whole different place. Every year the spanish teams and the english teams are favorite with the spanish top of the table and the english one being the possible teams in the finals. If we beat Chelsea a whole new possibilites will appear with new moral for our boys.

The game itself will certainly be decided by details and on the midfield. I'm expecting Zanetti to get Lampard and Cambiasso to handle Ballack when he's attacking. If they can stop these players we can give Stankovic and Sneijder more space to create for our strikers. I truely believe Lucio will handle Drogba as he is interested not only in winnig champions league. Lucio is also thinking about the world cup. Believe me, he is. To win the match we will need the help of Eto'o. If he pass on Carvalho or Alex with ease this might open space for Milito to score. Since probably Milito with be handled by terry we will need Eto'o to open spaces. One thing is Milito outplaying the defenders in italy who worked better as a sistem and not so much individually. Chelsea's defence is as good as any good defence in italy but their defenders are, individually better. Maicon will have to stop Zirkhov, witch won't be difficult but it will limit Maicon's support to our forwards. I'm not expecting Maicon to make a superb appearance since he will have to handle zirkhov and malouda who are both really fast. Santon won't have much trouble. The only thing holding him is himself. He can outclass Ivanovich and also stop Anelka. C'mon, he stoped C. Ronaldo last season, he can do the same thing again.

Another aspect of the game that we have to consider is that Chelsea has advantage on corners. We have to be well prepared for that. Ivanovic, Terry, Drogba, Anelka all of them are really good. On the other hand our strikers are faster than their defenders. Quick passes and speed will be crutial. Another point Inter can explore are free kicks. Since Lampard makes lot's of fouls and he may handle sneijder we may score in free kicks.

I'm actually hoping for a good game, but it could end up being another Inter-Barcelona. Really dull game with few action. If I had to make a guess I would say the game will be 1-1. But i'm hoping for 2-0 for Inter.

And that's it my friends.
Christian Cardoso

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